【METRICAL】Increasing Profitability to Gain Support from Overseas Investors Is a Condition for Higher Valuation

In this article, I would like to try to summarize the recent analysis in this paper.

Metrical Analysis
We began analyzing corporate governance of Japanese companies in full swing in June 2015, covering 500 companies at that time. Since then, from February 2018 to the present, I have analyzed approximately 1,800 companies. These 1,800 companies are used as the universe and are updated monthly based on publicly available information such as annual securities reports, corporate governance reports, and financial statements. Metrical’s corporate governance analysis is divided into Board Practices and Key Actions. This is because even if the board structure and other board practices are formally in place, it is skeptical that they are being used to manage the company to create value. This is based on the hypothesis that, ideally, improvements in corporate governance will lead directly to value creation, or that improvements in board practices will create value through key actions such as cash allocation, share repurchases/reirements, etc. Therefore, I believe that key actions should be added to corporate governance evaluations.

METRICAL: CG Stock Performance (Japan): July 2024

In July, the stock market was highly volatile, rising sharply at the beginning of the month, then falling sharply toward the end of the month, before recovering at the end of the month. In July, the CG Top 20 significantly outperformed the TOPIX and JPX400 for the third consecutive month. The July stock market, which […]

METRICAL: Improved Profitability to Attract Overseas Investors Key to Raise Valuation Even After TSE’s Request

One year has passed since the TSE requested a P/B increase at the end of March 2023 (“Request for action to achieve cost of capital and stock price conscious management”). Valuations are expected to increase as stock prices rise. In this analysis, I examined what trends were observed in the companies that increased their Tobin’s Q in the Metrical universe during the period from March 2023 to March 2024.

In the comparable Metrical universe of 1,750 companies from March 2023 to March 2024, the analysis is divided into 5 groups (>50% increase, >25% to <50% increase, >0% to <25% increase, no change, and decrease) for each item in terms of the percentage change in Tobin's Q. The median percent change in Tobin's Q during this period was 2.06%. The table below profiles the 1,750 companies in the Metrical universe, dividing them into five groups (>50% increase, >25% to <50% increase, >0% to <25% increase, no change, and decrease) by the percentage change in Tobin's Q over the one-year period from March 2023 to March 2024. We can see that companies whose Tobin's Q increased by more than 50% include those with high Tobin's Q, average ROE and ROA over the past three years, and foreign shareholding ratios. Although companies whose Tobin's Q rose by more than 50% in terms of market capitalization gave up the top spot to companies whose Tobin's Q rose by more than 25% but less than 50%, the relatively large market capitalization of these companies caused their Tobin's Q to rise. The companies whose Tobin's Q increased by more than 50% and by more than 25% but less than 50% continued to increase their ROE and ROA.

JWLI – Champion of Change Japan Award (CCJA) 2024

The Champion of Change Japan Award (CCJA) was established in 2017 to honor women leaders who tirelessly address the most pressing needs in their communities in Japan. Selected from 200 nominations annually and announced at an award ceremony in the fall, a grand champion received 1,000,000 yen and four awardees receive 250,000 yen each.

Detail/Nominate: https://jwliccja.org/apply-3/

Deadline (extended): Sunday, May 19 – Japan Time

Higher ROE & ROA Are Keys to Higher Valuation, but This Wasn’t Easy for Companies with Low Valuation

I would like to examine which companies have experienced an increase in stock valuations over the past year, and have analyzed the characteristics of the 1,755 companies in the comparable Metrical universe whose Tobin’s Q increased between the end of December 2022 and the end of December 2023. The table below shows the median value of the change in Tobin’s Q for each of the six groups.

CG Stock Performance (Japan): April 2024

April’s stock market returned to values toward the end of the month, although the swing was large throughout the month.
The CG Top 20 stock market outperformed both the TOPIX and JPX400 in April by a wide margin.

Weakness in the U.S. stock market due to concerns about the risk of prolonged inflation and selling of semiconductor sector stocks caused Japanese stock prices to fall from mid-month, but the yen continued to weaken due to the Bank of Japan’s ongoing monetary easing, leading to a buying bounce toward the end of the month.

The TOPIX and JPX400 indexes gained -0.77% and -0.30%, respectively, in April, while the CG Top 20 index underperformed both indices by 1.30%.

The composites of CG Top 20 stocks has been replaced as of July 1.
Wacom (6727), K’s Holdings (8282), Eisai (4523), NSD (9757), and Trend Micro (4704) were new additions, while Ebara Corporation (6361), Orix (8591), United Arrows (7606), Tokyo Gas (9531) and Hoosiers Holdings (3284) were removed. Details of the component stocks are shown in the table below.

【Metrical】Percentage of Female Board Members Is a Measure of a Company’s Seriousness About Improving Its Practices

Following the previous analysis of the ratio of independent directors, here is an analysis of the ratio of female board members. As you know, the Japanese government has set a target of increasing the ratio of female board members ( board directors, statutory executive officers, and statutory auditors) to 30% by 2030 for companies listed on the prime market. Using data from the Metrical Universe at the end of September, I will examine the characteristics of each group in terms of the ratio of female board members.

Of the 1,781 companies in the Metrical Universe at the end of September, 74 (4.2%) have achieved a ratio of 30% or more female directors. The government and TSE have also set an intermediate goal of appointing at least one female board member by 2025. 1,567 (88%) of the 1,781 companies in the Metrical Universe at the end of September have at least one female board member. The 1,781 companies in the Metrical universe also include companies listed outside the prime market. It also includes companies like Canon that are expected to appoint female board members at future AGMs, so it is likely that the majority of prime market listed companies will have appointed female board members by 2025.

Aptly Titled, a Great Book to Read About “Whither Japan?”

This being New Year’s Day, I will recommend one book to read in 2024 to learn about not only about the challenges that Japan faces, but how the country is evolving to cope with them (and even thrive) in the global economy.  Richard hits the nail on the head in many ways, but to summarize a major theme;  if Japan is to fare better during next 15years than its past 25 years would seem to indicate, it will not be because the business models and management thinking of  its large firms are simply updated.

Save Taxes, While Improving Corporate Governance in Japan !!

The tax year will soon end! If you are interested to help improve corporate governance in Japan by supporting its up-and-coming “Institute of Directors”, please consider making a tax-deductible donation to our government-certified non-profit using this link: https://bdti.or.jp/en/about/make-a-donation/  . a Here is “why director training is so essential in Japan:   あ Donations to BDTI can be […]

Outside Director Lessons #6: Insist on Total Independence!

When Livedoor was delisted in the spring of 2006, its shareholder composition suddenly became a big issue.  Why? Because the majority of its stock were held by a large group of funds (mainly hedge funds) who never thought that their stock would be delisted by the TSE so soon and become untradeable. Another large portion was held by a combination of ordinary institutional investors and a corporation or two. The rest was held by a very large number of individuals, many of whom had spend large amounts of their limited savings on the stock because the company had done so many stock splits that the low price made it easy to buy, and made it look cheap, at the same time.