METRICAL: CG Stock Performance (Japan): October 2024

October stock prices rose toward the end of the month against the backdrop of a weak yen and strong U.S. stock market after the general election, after a decline due to concerns about the ruling party’s expected difficulties.

The CG Top 20 stock market outperformed both TOPIX and JPX400 for the sixth consecutive month in October.

October stock market began the month with a buy-back lead by higher U.S. stock market after a sharp decline at the end of the previous month. Thereafter, investors became more risk averse due to the view that the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) would struggle in the general election. After the general election, the market rebounded and closed higher on the back of a relaxed sentiment, a weaker yen, and higher U.S. stock prices.

METRICAL: Companies with High Corporate Governance Practices Have High ROE, but Not Vice Versa

One year has passed since TSE requested companies to “manage their companies with an awareness of the cost of capital and stock price” (so-called “P/B raise”). As of the end of March, more than half (885) of the prime market listed companies had disclosed their measures, and more companies are expected to do so once the companies whose fiscal year ends in March begin to disclose their measures. In recent disclosures, some companies have broken down their ROE and indicated target values when referring to the cost of capital, partly as a result of TSE’s publication of good practices in disclosure materials.

What New Skills Will Outside Directors Need in the Future?~The Skills and Mindset Required of a CPA as an Outside Director~

In August 2024, The Japanese Institute of Certified Public Accountants asked Mr. Nicholas Benes, Representative Director of The Board Director Training Institute of Japan (BDTI), about what role certified public accountants should play as an inside director, outside director, or outside statutory auditor (kansayaku), and the skills and mindset required for certified public accountants to perform that role. He spoke based on overseas examples as well as his experience in Japan.

METRICAL: CG Stock Performance (Japan): September 2024

September stock market was seen as a back-and-forth market, but a sell-off prevailed on the last trading day of the month, as investors were cautious about sooner-than-expected interest rates hike due to the launch of the new Ishiba administration.
In September, the CG Top 20 stock market outperformed both TOPIX and JPX400 for the fifth consecutive month.

The Japanese stock market, which had fallen until the middle of the month on fears of an early BOJ rate hike, recovered from the optimistic mood toward the end of the month, buoyed by the U.S. stock stocks rally and weaker yen, triggered by a large rate cut by the U.S. Fed. Later, the Japanese stocks fell back as sell-offs were triggered by the new Ishiba administration and the yen’s appreciation on the back of fears of an early rise in interest rates.

METRICAL:Engagement Keeps Widening the Profitability Gap Between the Top and Bottom Companies in Market Cap

I have discussed several times in my previous articles the widening gap between companies with large and small market capitalizations in terms of profitability and corporate governance initiatives. In this article, I would like to examine this issue. In my previous articles, “Increasing Profitability to Gain Support from Overseas Investors Is a Condition for Higher Valuation” and “Why Are Companies with High Corporate Governance Practices Ratings More Profitable?”, I stated that companies with high foreign ownership tend to have larger market capitalization and higher profitability. In addition, these companies also tend to have superior corporate governance practices. This is due to the fact that the companies have improved their profitability and corporate governance practices through years of engagement with overseas investors. Overseas investors have been calling for the need to improve the board of directors and the effective use of cash flow and cash on hand, including cash allocation, in order to increase corporate value. Based on our analysis to date, it appears that management is aware of the 30% foreign shareholding level as a threshold. Once this level is reached, there is a marked tendency to be forced to incorporate the opinions of overseas investors. It is expected that the engagement of overseas investors as a driver will further enhance the profitability and corporate governance of their portfolio companies (which tend to have large market capitalization). Thus, it can be inferred that the gap between companies with large market capitalization and those without will widen more and more.

METRICAL:Why Are Companies with High Corporate Governance Practices Ratings More Profitable?

In this article, I would like to discuss what trends are seen in companies with high corporate governance practice evaluations and what relationship there is between corporate governance practices and profitability and valuations of the companies.

Since February 2018, Metrical has evaluated a universe of approximately 1,800 companies using more than 40 evaluation criteria based on publicly available information such as annual securities reports, corporate governance reports, and financial statements, etc. which are updated on a monthly basis. Metrical also divides its corporate governance analysis into Board Practices and Key Actions. This is based on the hypothesis that for value creation, which is the goal of company management, improvements not only in board practices but also in board practices lead to decisions and actions (key actions), which in turn contribute to value creation. In other words, even if the composition of the board of directors and other aspects of board practices are formally put in place, they may not be utilized in management to create value. I believe that improvement of board practices should lead to actual actions and create value, which is what corporate governance improvement should be about. Below I discuss the relationship between the Metrical CG Score, which is evaluated based on this idea, and the companies’ profitability and valuations.

METRICAL: CG Stock Performance (Japan)-August 2024

After a sharp downturn at the beginning of the month, the August stock market gradually calmed down and recovered much of the decline by the end of the month.
In August, the CG Top 20 stock market outperformed both TOPIX and JPX400 for the fourth consecutive month.

The stock market in August, which started following the 0.25% interest rate hike decided at the Bank of Japan’s July monetary policy meeting, fell sharply in confusion from the unwinding of the yen carry trade due to the significantly rising Japanese yen. Thereafter, the yen gradually regained its stability, and the US equity market was strong after passing key events such as Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole and Nuvidea financial results, which led to a buy-back Japanese stocks rally.
The TOPIX and JPX400 indexes fell 1.96% and 1.23%, respectively, in May, while the CG Top 20 index outperformed significantly both indices up by 2.89%.

The composites of CG Top 20 stocks has been replaced as of July 1.
The CG Top 20 has been revised as of July 1. EBARA CORPORATION (6361), TechnoPro Holdings (6028), ENEOS Holdings (5020), INNOTEC (9880), United Arrows (7606), and Persol Holdings (2181) were newly added to the list, while H.U. Group Holdings (2146), Kao Corporation (4452), Kao (4452), Wacom (6727), K’s Holdings Eisai (8282), and Trend Micro (4704) were removed. (2146), Kao (4452), Wacom (6727), K’s Holdings (8282) Eisai (4523), and Trend Micro (4704) were removed. Details of the component stocks are shown in the table below.

What Needs to be Added to the “Action Program for Accelerating Corporate Governance Reform: From Form to Substance”

Nicholas Benes
Representative Director, The Board Director Training Institute of Japan (BDTI)
(The following is my personal opinion and not that of any organization. This is a translation of the original article.)

As sent to prospective candidates to be the next Prime Minister, in no particular order:
Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi, Minister for Foreign Affairs Yoko Kamikawa, Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Ken Saito, Minister for Digital Transformation Taro Kono, Minister in Charge of Economic Security Sanae Takaichi, Secretary-General of the Liberal Democratic Party Toshimitsu Motegi, House of Representatives Member Shigeru Ishiba, House of Representatives Member Shinjiro Koizumi, House of Representatives Member Takayuki Kobayashi, House of Representatives Member Seiko Noda, House of Representatives Member Katsunobu Kato.

CC: Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, Deputy Chairman of the Liberal Democratic Party’s Political Research Committee Masahiko Shibayama, Parliamentary Vice-Minister of Health, Labor and Welfare of the Liberal Democratic Party Akihisa Shiozaki, Deputy Secretary-General of the Liberal Democratic Party Seiji Kihara, House of Representatives Member Kenji Nakanishi.

Japan’s Corporate Governance Code (CGC) and the investor Stewardship Code need to function as “two wheels” of a cart. I had advocated this since 2013, and when I had the opportunity to formally propose the establishment of the CGC to the Liberal Democratic Party in 2014[1], I insisted that the most important thing was to “promote the disclosure of information that enables one to verify governance structure and substance” at firms.

“Governance and oversight are more likely to function effectively on a board that has a majority of truly independent and qualified independent directors.” As of 2014, this dynamic had been recognized in many countries around the world. At the time, I thought that if companies disclosed their actual governance practices and stewardship by investors started functioning well, Japan, as a developed country, would naturally adopt a similar stance within the next five years or so.

Ten years later, however, there is still no serious discussion of these two issues in Japan. Now that global investors are paying more attention to the Japanese stock market, I believe it is time for us to confront these core issues and take the following steps to speed up Japan’s governance transformation.

Oasis & BDTI’s “Director Training for Women Initiative 2024” Recruitment Results

For the third consecutive year, Oasis Management Co. (“Oasis”), graciously sponsored scholarships in support of outstanding women who would go on to receive training from The Board Director Training Institute of Japan (“BDTI”). Between April 1, 2024 and June 30, 2024, Oasis covered the full cost of training for women with outstanding qualities who participated in one of BDTI’s director training courses.

With many applications from talented women, 91 women were selected to receive scholarships this year. More than half of the scholarship recipients took BDTI’s Governance “Juku”, BDTI’s core director training taught in Japanese, while the rest participated in either Advanced Outside Director Training, BDTI’s Director Boot Camp taught in English, BDTI’s Role Play course, or went through e-Learning (which consists of 4 digital courses in total).

METRICAL:Drivers of Corporate Governance Improvement Are the Percentage of Foreign Shareholdings

In January 2024, Japanese stocks rose sharply as overseas investors bought Japanese stocks for the first time since June 2023. There has been no change in the composition of Japanese equities driven by overseas investors, who account for over 70% of the TSE’s trading volume. Meanwhile, since the TSE’s request at the end of March 2023, listed companies have been struggling to raise their stock price valuations (P/B). We have also seen an increase in disclosures from listed companies that seem to be expecting overseas investors to buy their shares. In this article, we will focus on the ratio of foreign shareholdings and analyze the trends in companies in which overseas investors invest. The contents of this article should be of interest not only to overseas investors, but also to listed companies.

The Metrical universe of 1,822 companies (as of January 2024) is divided into five groups (30% or more, 20% or more but less than 30%, 15% or more but less than 20%, 10% or more but less than 15%, and less than 10%) based on foreign shareholding ratio and analyzed for each category. The median foreign shareholding ratio is 15%; companies with 15% or more can be said to have higher foreign shareholding ratios. Also, as discussed in my previous article “Takeover Defense Measures and Foreign Shareholder Ratio,” there is a sort of threshold at 30%. When the foreign shareholding ratio exceeds 30%, it becomes more difficult for the company to secure 1/3 of the special resolution at the shareholders’ meeting, and thus the influence of foreign shareholders becomes stronger, which in turn can be expected to improve the company’s management.