METRICAL: Improved Profitability to Attract Overseas Investors Key to Raise Valuation Even After TSE’s Request

One year has passed since the TSE requested a P/B increase at the end of March 2023 (“Request for action to achieve cost of capital and stock price conscious management”). Valuations are expected to increase as stock prices rise. In this analysis, I examined what trends were observed in the companies that increased their Tobin’s Q in the Metrical universe during the period from March 2023 to March 2024.

In the comparable Metrical universe of 1,750 companies from March 2023 to March 2024, the analysis is divided into 5 groups (>50% increase, >25% to <50% increase, >0% to <25% increase, no change, and decrease) for each item in terms of the percentage change in Tobin's Q. The median percent change in Tobin's Q during this period was 2.06%. The table below profiles the 1,750 companies in the Metrical universe, dividing them into five groups (>50% increase, >25% to <50% increase, >0% to <25% increase, no change, and decrease) by the percentage change in Tobin's Q over the one-year period from March 2023 to March 2024. We can see that companies whose Tobin's Q increased by more than 50% include those with high Tobin's Q, average ROE and ROA over the past three years, and foreign shareholding ratios. Although companies whose Tobin's Q rose by more than 50% in terms of market capitalization gave up the top spot to companies whose Tobin's Q rose by more than 25% but less than 50%, the relatively large market capitalization of these companies caused their Tobin's Q to rise. The companies whose Tobin's Q increased by more than 50% and by more than 25% but less than 50% continued to increase their ROE and ROA.

METRICAL: CG Top20 Stock Performance of Japan vs. TOPIX (June2024)

In June, the stock market was pushed down in the middle of the month amid the lack of active buyers, but recovered and closed higher at the end of the month.

However, the stock market fell sharply in the middle of the month due to speculation that a certain financial institution, which had suffered heavy losses from its investment in foreign bonds, had conducted an operation to sell passive equity funds to take profits. The stock market then calmed down toward the end of the month and closed slightly higher than at the end of the previous month.
The TOPIX and JPX400 indexes gained 1.40% and 1.63%, respectively, in May, while the CG Top 20 index outperformed significantly both indices up by 2.04%.