METRICAL: What Kind of Firm Adopts Takeover Defenses? (Metrical Analysis Using BDTI Data)

As shown in the table below, more than 90% of all TSE-listed companies have not adopted takeover defense provisions, and about 90% of the companies in the Metrical universe (which consists mainly of companies listed on the TSE 1st Section and slightly larger in market capitalization than all listed companies) have not adopted takeover defense provisions.

While companies that do not retain takeover defenses are now the mainstream, we looked at the performance and corporate governance practices of companies that have adopted takeover defenses and those that have not. The table below shows them. As you can see, the performance of companies without takeover defense measures is superior in terms of ROE (actual), ROA (actual) for the past three years on average and Tobin’s Q. In terms of corporate governance practices, other than the percentage of independent directors, companies were found to be superior in terms of the percentage of female directors and Metrical score.

“How We Saved Our Planet”, by Nicholas Benes

In this article and video published in Ethical Boardroom, I urge a much deeper discourse about #ESG and the structure of profit-seeking corporations – one that considers ways to install the right incentive drivers. As summarized in the video, in my article aliens from another planet (the Vilcans) visit Earth and advise us to think much harder about key questions that we are not fully grappling with – such as: 1) who is best able to assess ESG factors that affect sustainability? 2) does our system provide enough incentives for them to think 20 years ahead, but act now? Does it do that throughout the entire investment chain? 3) why does ownership need to be non-transparent much of the time? Is that healthy?  5) what are the implications of giving FULL limited liability to corporations? 6) does it make sense that those who bought no stock, bear a large part of externalized risk? etc. etc.

The article then describes exactly how the Vilcans reconfigured their equity markets to address these and a host of other issues that (in my view) current #ESG initiatives and debates are not effectively coping with.

METRICAL:CG Stock Performance: November 2021

Stock market declines in November. CG Top 20 stocks underperformed the index. Stock prices in November plunged sharply toward the end of the month, falling for the second month in a row, as investors grew wary of a new variant of the COVID-19, the Omicron virus. The Topix and JPX400 indices fell -3.60% and -3.44%, […]

Metrical: Equity Issuance and Performance, Corporate Governance

Metrical has previously published “Retirement of treasury stock and performance, corporate governance” and “Dividend policy and performance, corporate governance,” and in the articles we have examined the relationship between share retirement and performance and corporate governance, and between dividend policy and performance and corporate governance, respectively (please contact us if you would like to know more). The current article on equity issuance is the third in a trilogy. Surprisingly, interesting analysis results were confirmed for each of these approaches.

To summarize the previous two articles, the stock retirement score is positively correlated with ROA (actual) and Tobin’s q, and companies that have retired their own shares three or more times have significantly better key performance indicators in ROE (actual), ROA (actual), and Tobin’s q. Similarly, in evaluating corporate governance practices (including actions), the Metrical Corporate Governance Score, the % of Independent Directors, the Equity Issuance Score, and the Dividend Policy Score, the 100 companies that have retired their own shares three or more times have significantly higher scores than the companies that have retired their shares less frequently. This confirms that these companies have a strong awareness of the need to improve their corporate governance, as these scores are significantly higher than those of the companies that have retired their own shares less frequently.

The Dividend Policy Score has a certain relationship with the Key Performance Indicators. Companies with a payout ratio target or forecast of less than 10% have the lowest ROE (actual) and ROA (actual) as key performance indicators compared to the group with the higher dividend policy score, while they have the highest Tobin’s q. In addition, companies with a payout ratio target or forecast of less than 10% have the lowest dividend policy score compared to the group with the higher dividend policy score in the Metrical Corporate Governance Score, Equity Retirement Score and Equity Issuance Score as an evaluation of corporate governance practices (including actions). These companies have the lowest Corporate Governance Score, Equity Cancellation Score and Equity Issuance Score compared to the group with the higher Dividend Policy Score. Therefore, it can be pointed out that these companies may have relatively low awareness of improving corporate governance.

Metrical evaluates the Equity Issuance Score according to the type of equity issuance (capital increase, CB, WB, preferred stock, etc.) and the frequency of such issuance. Specifically, if a company has never issued equity since 2000, the score is 0, and if it has subsequently implemented equity financing, the score is lowered according to the type of issuance. Specifically, the score is -2 for capital increases that directly issue new shares and -1 for equity financing that mitigates the dilution of shareholder interests, such as CB, WB, and preferred shares, and a negative score is added for each equity financing.

The number of companies with an Equity Issuance Score of 0 (no equity issuance since 2000) is 797, the number of companies with an Equity Issuance Score of -1 (has issued equity only once using CBs, WBs, preferred shares, etc. that are not directly dilutive) is 121, the number of companies with an Equity Issuance Score of -2 (has raised capital once or has issued equity twice using CBs, WBs, preferred shares, etc. that are not directly dilutive) is 557, and the number of companies with an Equity Issuance Score of -3 (has issued more equity than the above) is 69, the number of companies with an equity issuance score of -4 (has issued more equity than the above) is 118, and the number of companies with an equity issuance score of -5 or lower (has issued more equity than the above) is 54.